Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.479778 5.170937 5.932826 6.834973 7.874170 9.033923 10.426847
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.430102 4.304811 5.351140 6.695056 8.376144 10.410806 13.062939
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.852007 3.850727 5.133760 6.903073 9.281493 12.371428 16.697590
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.316575 3.339560 4.740508 6.799490 9.751717 13.838274 19.938390
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.070385 3.167025 4.758263 7.235769 11.001651 16.522389 25.255520
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.835870 2.964654 4.691365 7.525275 12.068835 19.087949 30.795596
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.593526 2.704998 4.489954 7.565186 12.743821 21.139402 35.843441
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.321035 2.348803 4.075535 7.187627 12.672749 21.972300 39.014614
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.213586 2.253133 4.074774 7.499018 13.796587 24.928896 46.211310
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.153433 2.230278 4.193418 8.032490 15.380859 28.890313 55.764379
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.055112 2.120099 4.135604 8.227266 16.360715 31.878290 63.929233
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.959009 1.998630 4.037240 8.325446 17.160993 34.621998 71.997450
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.831030 1.797748 3.763439 8.051140 17.215603 35.989800 77.669155
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.715819 1.605299 3.478382 7.709822 17.079845 36.952971 82.653173
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.657062 1.525672 3.417690 7.839046 17.969927 40.188707 93.050042
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.581232 1.395753 3.228877 7.655135 18.137884 41.884953 100.270509
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.559250 1.387256 3.310401 8.103029 19.821039 47.208562 116.714917
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.528568 1.352987 3.327119 8.399571 21.190343 52.002560 132.639007
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.484859 1.279495 3.239437 8.427017 21.905341 55.339393 145.482184
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.421727 1.146341 2.985692 7.996472 21.399486 55.607001 150.543587
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.404084 1.130361 3.026000 8.336434 22.946849 61.278959 170.688954
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.398558 1.146441 3.152031 8.925172 25.249559 69.242219 198.279744
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.376731 1.113545 3.142299 9.138887 26.553999 74.729063 219.842298